The Iran War Trade: How a 30.5% Polymarket Probability Is Pricing Chaos for Crypto
A Polymarket contract sits at 30.5%. The question: "Will Iran reconstruction...
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Fear
Market Sentiment
Block reward halving event
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
92 million ARB released
Team and early investor shares released
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
Bitcoin Season
| # | Coin | Price |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bitcoin
BTC
|
$63,097.4 |
| 1 |
Ethereum
ETH
|
$1,869.07 |
| 1 |
Solana
SOL
|
$72.98 |
| 1 |
BNB Chain
BNB
|
$579 |
| 1 |
XRP Ledger
XRP
|
$1.06 |
| 1 |
Dogecoin
DOGE
|
$0.0701 |
| 1 |
Cardano
ADA
|
$0.1753 |
| 1 |
Avalanche
AVAX
|
$6.35 |
| 1 |
Polkadot
DOT
|
$0.7716 |
| 1 |
Chainlink
LINK
|
$8.11 |