#polymarket

The number hit my screen at 08:14 GMT. Polymarket's Russia-Ukraine ceasefire...

On March 18, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) fined former Whi...

The U.S. Department of Justice is preparing to prosecute a soldier for inside...

The assumption is that user growth is a positive signal. For a prediction...

Kalshi just pulled $1.12 billion in private funding. That number is not a typ...

On the eve of the IEM Katowice 2025 CS2 grand final, the Polymarket predictio...

We mined liquidity while the code slept. That was my first thought when I saw...

The market says 13.5%. On Polymarket, the probability of crude oil hitting...

I saw the wire tap before the wallet drained. South Korea’s broadcast...

The White House will host a crypto CEO roundtable the day before the CFTC's...

The data shows a structural fracture forming beneath the CFTC's first...

I didn't fly to San Francisco just to see the same faces. The real show is in...

The news broke on August 14, 2025: JPMorgan Chase, the largest bank in the...

The odds moved first. On Polymarket, the contract for a Bank of Japan rate hi...

We are told that blockchain eliminates the need for trust. But the lawsuit...

On Polymarket, the probability of a Bank of Japan rate hike in September...

Block 0x43a2... on Polygon recorded a transaction at 14:32 UTC on October 14,...

During my time tracking Ethereum wallets in 2017, I learned one thing: where...

Over the past seven days, Dune Analytics recorded a 56% decline in Polymarket...

Polymarket's weekly trading volume just dropped 56% from its June peak. Kalsh...

The Gulfstream didn’t just take off from Istanbul Atatürk Airport—it vanished...

195 days. That’s the lifespan of Fireplace, a prediction market terminal that...

The signal is brutally clear. Polymarket traders have priced a 65% probabilit...

The Senate recess begins Monday morning. John Thune's office has announced...

A $20 billion valuation target is a declaration. Polymarket does not mine...

The 61% figure is not from a think tank. It is a price. A blockchain predicti...

The market just priced your next geopolitical crisis at 14.5 cents on the...

Polymarket says it will challenge France’s website block. The French National...

Hook: Polymarket shows a 74% probability that Iran will launch military actio...

The exploit wasn't a flash loan or a reentrancy bug. It was a number. 46%....

The FT dropped a quiet bomb last week: insurers are cutting premiums for...

The blockchain doesn't lie, but it does whisper. On July 15, 2026, at block...

Israel’s latest warning about a potential Iranian attack is front-page news....

A Polymarket contract sits at 30.5%. The question: "Will Iran reconstruction...

On July 22, 2024, a U.S. House subcommittee convened to decide whether...

On a quiet Tuesday morning, a prediction market contract on Polymarket ticked...

The US launches strikes on Iran. Oil ticks up — barely. The real story isn't ...

The data point landed with surgical precision: a prediction market pricing a...

A freshly funded project with a $22 billion valuation. That’s the number...

Tracing the ghost in the liquidity protocol: a platform built to predict...

On a quiet Tuesday afternoon, a prediction market contract quietly updated it...

Hook Polymarket's latest odds show a 6% probability that Solana (SOL) will...

Hook A prediction market contract on a potential 10-day ceasefire between Tru...

The clock stops, but the chain doesn’t. Polymarket just priced Iran-US...

I trace the wallet, not the whisper. When I opened the Crypto Briefing piece ...

A prediction market contract currently prices the probability of Halane city...

Polymarket just priced Xi Jinping’s September 2026 US visit at 92.5%. That...

The Missile and the Prediction Market: Why Crypto Markets Ignored Iran's Thir...

An Iranian missile landed in Jordan yesterday. No casualties. But the signal...

We didn’t just hunt alpha; we rewired the game. Last week, as I scanned...